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Global Investment Views - December 2021
Monday 29 November 2021
Global Investment View
Halloween ‘ghosts’ of Fed tapering, the Evergrande crisis, and the earnings season did not scare the markets. The Fed telegraphed its message well: while keeping the option to adjust tapering depending on the state of the economy, it reiterated the “transitory” inflation narrative. The BoE proved more dovish than expected, actually keeping rates unchanged (‘benign neglect’) regarding inflation risk.
Halloween ‘ghosts’ of Fed tapering, the Evergrande crisis...
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Early Christmas gifts to support year-end rally
As we approach year-end, markets can count on two pieces of news to propel some optimism. The first comes from the US, where the Biden victory, without a real Blue Wave, is seen by markets as the best possible outcome. A Republican, or even a 50-50 senate, would make it very hard for the new president to pass any extreme measures in terms of fiscal push, more drastic legislation or tax increases.