- Global Investment Views - February 2018
Global Investment Views - February 2018
Monday 29 January 2018
Research / Market
Global Investment Views - February 2018 - CIO Views
Hot markets require prudence
Equity markets started the year extremely well in January, after a strong performance in 2017. The S&P index recorded a positive performance in almost every month of last year in a context of exceptionally low volatility. Eighteen of the 20 lowest levels of the VIX of the last 20 years were printed in 2017. Further, the bull run for risk assets continued to extend its long phase of asset inflation. In addition, aggregate bond indexes and emerging market bonds delivered returns above the average of the past 20 years. Can these unique conditions continue?
Turkey shakes summer thin markets, but contagion risk is contained
“The domestic boom has been financed by private debt (mainly external debt). Well before this week’s crisis, Turkey was the most vulnerable country in our EM ranking”.
Global Investment Views - August 2018
"Concerns about trade continue to take centre stage. While US assets have so far been resilient amid escalating protectionist rhetoric, markets targeted by tariffs are under pressure."
Where will the next financial crisis come from? Are we ready to confront it?
"The world is not yet completely out of the 2007- 2008 financial crisis, but the risk of a new crisis already arises. The theme of “regime shift” (volatility, interest rate, inflation, etc.) has resurfaced, which led to a marked correction in financial markets in January – February."