- Global Investment Views - August 2018
Global Investment Views - August 2018
Monday 30 July 2018
Research / Market
The dominance of politics: investment implications
Concerns about trade continue to take centre stage. While US assets have so far been resilient amid escalating protectionist rhetoric, markets targeted by tariffs are under pressure. We still don’t believe a full trade war is likely and we still expect decent economic growth, though decelerating and less synchronised, and with only mild inflationary pressure. But, trade disputes could impact business confidence and investment plans, interfering with central banks (CB)’ interest rate normalisation processes.
Emerging Markets Charts & Views - Seek opportunities, but be aware of short-term volatility
Emerging markets (EM) started 2019 on a strong footing and, as a result, some excessive valuation gaps have been partially closed.
Brexit: an agreement is now more likely, but be aware of a no deal risk, not priced in
The concept of factor investing and the debate around passive and active management has emerged since the end of the 2000s and has completely changed the landscape of equity investing.
Gold in central banks' asset allocation
After a long lacklustre period during the 1980s and 1990s, the price of gold has picked up significantly since the new millennium, and central banks, after having steadily reduced their allocation to gold, have resumed their gold purchases.