Global Investment Views - March 2021

Wednesday 24 February 2021

Global Investment Views - March 2021 - CIO Views

If the start of 2021 led markets to question the no inflation forever mantra, the debate has been hotting up in February, with the US 10Y inflation breakeven reaching its highest level since 2014, pricing in higher inflation expectations. We are also seeing pricing pressure on the food and energy side. Despite this rising trend, absolute inflation levels remain subdued...

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Vignette - temperature scores

Temperature scores: an innovative tool for ESG fundamental investors

2021 will be a pivotal year to curb climate change. Although global CO2 emissions dropped 7% in 2020 due to the effects of Covid-19-related lockdowns, stronger action will be needed at the upcoming Conference of the Parties (COP) 26 to keep temperature increases below 2°C and towards 1.5°C.1 Achieving the 1.5°C goal will require net zero global emissions by 2050. Today, the financial sector has new tools to measure the alignment of investment portfolios with the goal of net zero global emissions by 2050. Among these are temperature scores. To compute the temperature of company x, one compares the future emissions trajectory of that company with the corresponding trajectory of its sector, as deemed by the International Energy Agency (IEA) in alignment with a world where the temperature rise is limited to 1.5°C. So far, these scores have been adopted by only a handful of investors. A significant amount of work is still needed for investors to efficiently use such scores in their strategies.