Global Investment Views - September 2019

Wednesday 04 September 2019

Research / Market

Back to school. Back to normal? 

Financial markets have been rattled in the past weeks over escalating trade war between the US and China as both imposed tariffs and counter-tariffs on imports. Idiosyncratic risks stories in countries such as Argentina resurfaced, the UK’s parliament was suspended over Brexit chaos and Italy witnessed a political crisis of its own, although a government seems in sight now. Investors’ search for safety pushed core bond yields to unprecedented low levels, with yield on the 30-year German bunds turning negative for the first time ever. The US yield curve inverted for the first time since 2007, with yields on 2y note rising above those on the 10y bond.

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CIO views: High conviction ideas from Amundi Global Investment Committee.

Other news

Vignette- Europe, US and China tomorrow
16/11/2020 Research / Market

Europe, US and China tomorrow: Will it be possible to avoid geopolitical and economic traps?

There are many pitfalls looming. Some concern China, the United States and Europe, while others are more targeted, notably on China or on the relationship between China and the United States. Some traps concern geopolitics (the Thucydides trap, the Kindleberger trap, the Herodotus trap, the Tacitus trap, the Chamberlain - Daladier trap and the cold war trap), while others deal with  purely economic issues (the middle-income trap, the inflation trap, the stagflation trap and the debt trap).