Monthly Market Insights

A monthly review of developments in the economy and markets by Paresh Upadhyaya, Director of Currency Strategy, US. Each month Paresh focuses on macroeconomic issues reflected in the thinking and conversations of Amundi Pioneer investment professionals.

 

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June 2022 Cross Asset
06/01/2022 Cross Asset

A Look Under the Surface of the Q1 Earnings Season

The age of the 'Great Coincidence' in the policy mix is over. Budget deficit reductions are near, and will be accompanied by diminished household savings and greater pressure on corporate profits in light of wage negotiations. The widespread belief that fiscal spending is effectively unlimited is going to be severely tested. On the monetary side, we're witnessing the end of ultra-cheap money. Central banks have had to hike rates and drain liquidity in this time of looming stagflation, but will maintain a benign-neglect tilt and allow inflation to run to preserve growth.

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