Quarterly Compass Update

The Amundi Pioneer Compass is a quarterly update on the direction of the markets. It offers comprehensive coverage of the markets including global context, our outlook, and trends.

 

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Other news

March 2024 Cross Asset
03/15/2024 Cross Asset

Six questions concerning the weakness behind US resiliency

 In January we had some upside surprises, encompassing import prices, producer prices, both the headline and core Consumer Price Index, and the Personal Consumption Expenditure deflator. We think prices were in part boosted by seasonal factors which are not fully accounted for in the usual seasonal adjustment. The weakness in January retail sales and a downward revision of November and December readings signal, in our opinion, a potential downshift in consumer spending. Credit card and auto loan delinquency rates continue to rise according to the New York Fed report; consumption so far has been supported by the depletion of excess savings but US households have also taken on more debt, and some of those loans are becoming delinquent, especially credit card and auto loans, which are now above pre-COVID levels.

March 2024 GIV
03/04/2024 Global Investment Views, Equity, Fixed income

Markets, economy and valuations: debate rages on

We believe valuations are excessive in some segments, such as mega-caps, where profit margins are also high. But the key question is whether these high margins justify current valuations? And will these companies be able to grow their top line quickly, while maintaining margins in a context of increased global competition and exhausted consumers? On the other hand, judging the direction of the economy is becoming increasingly difficult.

IT-Passive-to-Active
03/01/2024 Investment Talks

Passive to Active: Words of Wisdom from Ted Lasso

Passive strategies have generally have fared well over the past decade, which has made it easy to forget the long periods during which active managers outpaced passive approaches. The reasons we believe market concentration will decline include (1) a shrinking earnings advantage for the top ten companies, and (2) seemingly unsustainably high valuations. We believe investors may benefit from investing with active managers that thoughtfully select their exposure based on the earnings and valuation profile of each stock.

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