April 2024 | After a strong close to 2023 and a resilient first quarter, we expect the US economy to decelerate as we continue through 2024. The most vulnerable segments of the economy are showing signs of stress, although data on the broader economy remain mixed. We continue to expect inflation to moderate amid some volatility, particularly on the sticky services side, as domestic demand cools. We acknowledge the trend strength in risk assets, but high valuations are preventing us from massively shifting our risk gear upwards. The equity rally is broadening and we see a rotation towards European equities, where we have now a neutral stance.
01 | The equity rally is broadening and we see a rotation towards European equities.
02 | The broadening of participants beyond the Magnificent 7 should benefit equal-weighted indices in the US, but the European market is also a good candidate for taking advantage of this window of opportunity.
03 | The US market benefits from more dynamic earnings growth than the rest of the world, but its valuation is much higher than that of other markets.
Unless otherwise stated, all information contained in this document is from Amundi Asset Management as of April 15, 2024. Diversification does not guarantee a profit or protect against a loss. The views expressed regarding market and economic trends are those of the [author] and not necessarily Amundi Asset Management and are subject to change at any time based on market and other conditions, and there can be no assurance that countries, markets or sectors will perform as expected. These views should not be relied upon as investment advice, a security recommendation, or as an indication of trading for any Amundi product or service. This material does not constitute an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any security, fund units or services. Investment involves risks, including market, political, liquidity and currency risks. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Amundi US is the US business of Amundi Asset Management.