In our opinion, we should dismiss the idea that talks could breakdown, albeit uncertainties remain. On one side, in order to reach an agreement China wants the U.S. to remove all extra tariffs, set targets for Chinese purchases of goods in line with real demand, and ensure that the text of the deal is “balanced” to ensure the “dignity” of both nations.
IN THE HEADLINES
Economic crisis and political risk batter Argentina. Way out or opportunity?
Argentina’s economic situation: The economy is facing severe stagflation. Monetary and fiscal policy are extremely tight, consumer and investor confidence is low, and inflation is proving very sticky amidst wage indexation.
Asset Class Return Forecasts - Q2 - 2019
Our medium-term baseline scenario is that of a late business cycle slowdown followed by a probable mild economic recession in the next three to five years.
European equities: what impacts in the event of a tariff war with the United States?
While the threat of a large-scale Sino-US tariff war appears to be receding, the US could now switch its focus to its trade deficits with the European Union.
Spain: Forming a coalition will take time, but the picture looks benign for investors
“Forming a coalition will require some time, but this is not a threat for the Spanish economic outlook.”
Environmental Social and Governance Proposals and Shareholder Activism
News-Based Indices on Country Fundamentals: Do They Help Explain Sovereign Credit Spread Fluctuations?
Cross Asset Investment Strategy - May 2019
Who will lead the world economy?
Is inflation definitely dead or simply dormant? Consequences for central banks
Global Investment Views - May 2019
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