News & Markets

Investment Talks - France Outlook

Investment Talks - Factor Investing and ESG in the Corporate Bond Market Before and During the COVID-19 Crisis

The objective of this paper is to illustrate the factor investing space in corporate bonds before and during the COVID-19 crisis and is the natural extension of our prior analysis on both the new alternative credit factors and the ESG integration in credit

2020 post-election analysis: Biden wins, but the United States remains divided

Final result: Former Vice President Joe Biden defeated President Trump to become the 46th President of the United States. While Trump has not conceded yet, he became only the third President to fail to win re-election since World War II. In the end, the election was a referendum on Trump as a man rather than an indictment of his policies. A political realignment is underway, with GOP emerging as a working-class party and dominating the vote in rural areas, while the ‘Blue wall’ of the Midwestern stattes of Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin has become competitive for both parties.

US election: no winner yet, markets moving from a Blue Wave to a possible Trump trade

US election outcome: At the time of writing, the result remains unclear and prudence is needed as the race is close Biden 238 - Trump 213  (270 to win). We expect an 85% likelihood of knowing the winner within ten days

Investment talks - Time to reconsider US growth and value?

The outperformance of growth stocks over value stocks has reached record levels, as has the valuation gap.

Investment talks - A civil Vice Presidential debate has little impact on the race

There was probably more heightened interest in this debate compared to most VP debates. First, following last week’s raucous debate that failed to shed new light into policy, viewers will be eager to see a civil and substantive political debate. Second, given the health and age of the presidential nominees, voters will be scrutinizing Pence and Harris to see if they are capable of becoming commander in chief at a moment’s notice. The debate covered nine topics such as COVID-19, the role of the Vice President, Economy, Climate Change, China, Role of US leadership, Supreme Court, Racial Justice, and, finally, acceptance of the Election Result.

Cross Asset Investment Strategy - October 2020

Our Global Views team attempts to answer some of the questions often asked by our clients.

Investment talks -2020.09 - First Debate

Advantage Biden After The First Presidential Debate 

President Trump's Positive COVID-19

President Trump announced in a tweet shortly before 1:00 a.m. on Friday October 2nd that he and the First Lady of the United States (FLOTUS) tested positive for COVID-19.  We look at the potential repercussions from this dramatic news in this Q&A.