News

269 news articles are available

21/10/2019 Research / Market

Italy: few ambitions from the new budget framework

On 30 September the newly formed Italian government released an update to April’s Economic and Finance Document, with new fiscal plans for the years 2019 to 2022 and changes to the underlying economic assumptions. The Update Note to the budget shows little ambition in strengthening growth or shoring up public finances for now and can be seen as a transitional budget, aimed at restoring confidence in Italy’s commitment to comply as much as possible with the EU framework.

15/10/2019 Research / Market

Trump impeachment is likely, but impact on financial markets would be short-lived

The Democratic Party has announced the opening of an impeachment inquiry against President Donald Trump following revelations that he pushed Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy to investigate the son of Democratic opponent Joe Biden. The impeachment process is long and articulated. An 80% probability that Trump will be impeached, followed by acquittal in the Senate, which would keep him in office for the remainder of his term, is our base case scenario.

03/10/2019 News, Fixed income

Bond back to Core: where is the value in the current economic cycle?

“Slowdown in global growth with subdued inflation and dovish Central Banks (CB) committed to avoid further economic deceleration are trends that should remain favourable for bond investors.” begins Eric Brard, Head of Fixed Income at Amundi. “On one side, investors should limit the upside in core bond yields and, on the other, support the credit market, despite the strong spread compression in this first part of the year. An increasingly selective approach will be crucial.”