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Wednesday 23 August 2023
Investment Talks
August 2023 | As global markets react to central banks’ efforts to control persistent inflation, the opportunity set is changing across international equities. In our view, there are several underlying reasons to be optimistic about equity markets outside the US. Meanwhile, due to several factors, including recent significant stimulus and hopes over artificial intelligence, a handful of US stocks are experiencing significantly high valuations. In order to diversify their investments and find new opportunities, investors can consider incorporating global equities into their portfolios.
01 | We believe the US economy is positioned to experience a prolonged slowdown and possibly a recession.
02 | US equity markets appear expensive relative to other markets and to their own history.
03 | With inflationary pressures likely to remain higher for longer, investors may be able to benefit from expanding the global reach of their portfolios.
Important Information
Unless otherwise stated, all information contained in this document is from Amundi Asset Management US (Amundi US) and is as of August 16, 2023. Diversification does not guarantee a profit or protect against a loss. The views expressed regarding market and economic trends are those of the author and not necessarily Amundi US and are subject to change at any time based on market and other conditions, and there can be no assurance that countries, markets or sectors will perform as expected. These views should not be relied upon as investment advice, a security recommendation, or as an indication of trading for any Amundi product. This material does not constitute an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any security, fund units or services. Investment involves risks, including market, political, liquidity and currency risks. Past performance is not a guarantee or indicative of future results. Amundi Asset Management US is the US business of the Amundi Asset Management group of companies.
Passive strategies have generally have fared well over the past decade, which has made it easy to forget the long periods during which active managers outpaced passive approaches. The reasons we believe market concentration will decline include (1) a shrinking earnings advantage for the top ten companies, and (2) seemingly unsustainably high valuations. We believe investors may benefit from investing with active managers that thoughtfully select their exposure based on the earnings and valuation profile of each stock.
The first debate between US presidential candidates Trump and Harris was a fractious exchange that shed little new light on policy details. Democratic candidate Kamala Harris was deemed to have performed better than her Republican rival Donald Trump, according to snap polls conducted after the debate. This implies that Harris will likely see an extension of the honeymoon period that has dominated since her nomination. While the US election debate was relatively disciplined and covered all the major domestic and foreign policy issues, it was light on the two candidates' policy agendas as both stuck to high-level answers with little in the way of specific measures or details of how they would accomplish their objectives.
Since early 2023, a handful of the market's top stocks, including the Magnificent Seven, have surged in earnings and valuation, and have dominated returns. Underneath the surface of today's concentrated, crowded market, sharp earnings recoveries may soon play out and structural changes may occur in many industries, creating new winning and losing stocks. Separating the potential winners from the rest of the market will be key to portfolio success over the next year, and beyond. With so much uncertainty and variability across industries and companies, we believe active management is essential to capturing the momentum of a changing market.
Before investing, consider the product's investment objectives, risks, charges and expenses. Contact your financial professional or Amundi US for a prospectus or summary prospectus containing this information. Read it carefully. To obtain a free prospectus or summary prospectus and for information on any Pioneer fund, please download it from our literature section.
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