Potential Opportunities in the US Banking Sector

Thursday 06 April 2023

Investment Talks

   

Potential Opportunities in the US Banking Sector

April 2023 | Despite the failure of a handful of banks in the US and one in Europe, our view is that 2023 will not present a financial crisis in the magnitude of the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) of 2008. Furthermore, we believe now is an opportunity to take advantage of the volatility in the banking space by increasing allocations to the banks that we believe to be structural winners—those that have invested in technology or have enviable deposit dynamics.

01 |  We believe the recent crisis among several US banks was not due to systemic causes, and does not signal a financial crisis of the magnitude of the Global Financial Crisis of 2008.

02 | While the events have caused stresses in the system, the US Federal Reserve not only provided ample liquidity, but has signaled that the stability of the US banking system is a priority.

03 | We believe investors can find opportunities in the banking space by focusing on the banks that have invested in technology or have enviable deposit dynamics because of compelling valuations, while not waiting for consensus earnings to be revised down.

Potential Opportunities in the US Banking Sector

Important Information

Unless otherwise stated, all information contained in this document is from Amundi Asset Management US (Amundi US) and is as of April 6, 2023. Diversification does not guarantee a profit or protect against a loss. The views expressed regarding market and economic trends are those of the author and not necessarily Amundi US and are subject to change at any time based on market and other conditions, and there can be no assurance that countries, markets or sectors will perform as expected. These views should not be relied upon as investment advice, a security recommendation, or as an indication of trading for any Amundi product. This material does not constitute an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any security, fund units or services. Investment involves risks, including market, political, liquidity and currency risks. Past performance is not a guarantee or indicative of future results. Amundi Asset Management US is the US business of the Amundi Asset Management group of companies.

Other news

IT-Last mile
04/23/2024 Investment Talks

Remain agile in bond selection, with an eye on last mile inflation

Though the US economy and consumers appear to have largely defied the "gravitational pull" of significantly tighter monetary policy, we continue to view the risk of a recession during 2024 as higher than normal. We expect that such a recessionary scenario would lead to significantly greater interest rate cuts, while the "no landing" scenario of more persistent inflation would delay the start of rate cuts. As developed economy central banks continue to grapple with when to start normalizing local monetary policy, now could be an interesting time for investors to strengthen their portfolios by extending the duration of their fixed income portfolios and raising credit quality and liquidity profiles while carefully weighing global opportunities.

IT-US HY Outlook
04/17/2024 Investment Talks

US High Yield Market Outlook and Positioning

Although first-quarter returns proved to be anemic, at least they were consistent. Across the quarter, monthly returns were positive and spreads moved tighter. With inflation's decline stalling, short-term rate expectations stabilized. Within high yield, Treasury yield increases largely negated the effects of tighter spreads, leading to returns near the index's coupon yield. Although CCCs were the best performers in the US and globally, the US High Yield Distressed Index  (comprised of issuers with spreads over 1000 basis points) underperformed the broader US high yield market, indicating investors were more interested in high-yielding bonds than in potential workouts.

IT-Bonds Take Center Stage
04/05/2024 Investment Talks

Bonds Take Center Stage

For most of the last year, savers have been earning a reasonable return in cash. But how long can these compelling cash rates last? Historically, the answer has been: not very long. In every rate hike cycle since the 1970s, the US Federal Reserve has “paused at the peak” federal funds rate for a matter of months, not years, and history suggests the rate cuts could begin soon. With history as a guide, we believe investors may benefit from locking in some of today’s historically elevated interest rates by moving out of cash and into short-term bonds.

Before investing, consider the product's investment objectives, risks, charges and expenses. Contact your financial professional or Amundi US for a prospectus or summary prospectus containing this information. Read it carefully. To obtain a free prospectus or summary prospectus and for information on any Pioneer fund, please download it from our  literature section.

Securities offered through Amundi Distributor US, Inc.
60 State Street, Boston, MA 02109
Underwriter of Pioneer mutual funds, Member   SIPC.   

Not FDIC insured | May lose value | No bank guarantee Amundi Asset Management US, Inc.  Form CRS         Amundi Distributor US, Inc.  Form CRS